Thailand’s economy? Investing on Prayuth’s Plan A?

Navigating investments, through the twist and turns of Thia politics, can be a chalenge. Even the iconic, emerging market guru, Mark Mobius, said several monehts back, he does not know what will happen in Thia politics.

Thailand’s army chief, Prayuth, reports several press, has given a meeting of all sides in the Thai political divide “Homework.”

The homework is to decide on a solution for Thailand, centering on: “elections, reform and a neutral Prime Minister.”

But there is a “Catch” in that Prayuth’s homework, to many, is just a “Re-Hash” of old “Tests” that the Thais have faced before, over and over and over-and every time, the Thais have failed the test.

The problem is that Suthep’S movement, called Fascist by many locally and globally, is opposed to an election, because the Shinawatra will certainly win again. The “Reform” which is to reduce the Shinawatra Family influence in Thai politics, run against the reality, that the family is popular and loved, by a much majority of the Thai people. And a “Neutral Government and Prime Minister” will be opposed, fiercely, by the mostly pro-democracy and Shinawatra Family supporter, Red Shirts.

The question that begs to be answered is can Prayuth “Accept that Truth?” Of course, Prayuth understand those factors, as they are just part of “Plan A.”

Therefore, what is Prayuth’s “Plan B, Plan C and other?” Or is this “other plan” is what Prayuth is really after?

In the meantime, The Global Post, an internet global news unit, posted a report, with the headline, quote: “Thailand’s democracy is being dismembered, limb by limb.”

Name it, everyone one on the side of the Thai Elite Establishment, like all the courts to selected Senators to most of Thailand’s press, have pitched in, in that dismemberment, including, much or the time, Prayuth’s Thai army.

Thailand’s army chief attempted to take on the role of mediator Wednesday, bringing together political rivals in an effort to break Thailand’s months long impasse, but little was resolved in the first day of talks.

But even the normally anti-Shinawatra Family, The UK’s Guardian news group, headlined its latest Thailand report, quote: “We must defend Thailand’s fragile democracy – or civil war.”
Representatives from all sides of Thailand’s political divides attended the session chaired by Gen. Prayuth Chan-ocha. The talk is to find an end to months of protests and turmoil that have taken a heavy toll on the country’s economy and brought its democracy to the brink of collapse.

More than 40 people participated in Wednesday’s meeting, including representatives from the government, the leaders pro- and anti-government street protest groups, Thailand’s main political parties and the country’s Election Commission.

While Gen. Prayuth’s attempt to broker talks between the country’s populist and conservative factions offers a way out of the deadlock, some analysts said it was a high-risk strategy that could push the country deeper into crisis, says Dow Jones.

If negotiations fail, the army may decide to enforce a compromise that could create further problems, said Sirote Klampaiboon, an independent scholar and political analyst, to Dow Jones. “It’s risky because the army is the one who sets the agenda and everything is done behind closed doors,” Mr. Sirote said.

Anti-government protesters led by former opposition Democrat Party executive Suthep Thaugsuban are urging Thailand’s partially elected Senate to install a new prime minister to replace Mr. Niwattumrong. But pro-government “Red Shirt” protesters massing in Bangkok’s western suburbs have warned of a mass uprising or even civil war if Mr. Niwattumrong is removed.

Opposition protesters disrupted a previous ballot in February that was widely expected to return Ms. Yingluck’s party to power. This time Mr. Niwattumrong is pushing for an Aug. 3 election date after Thailand’sElection Commission called off polls previously slated for July 20.

Dow Jones says, “Gen. Prayuth has made little effort to disguise the power he now wields after imposing martial law in the early hours of Tuesday morning. Among other measures, at least ten satellite television channels have been taken off the air and Internet service providers have been warned that they could be shut down if they allow messages deemed critical of the army’s operation to be posted online.”

Here are some links:

Thailand Crisis: Talks Fail to Resolve Political Deadlock http://online.wsj.com/news/articles/SB10001424052702303749904579575523650319110

Thailand Talks Fail to Resolve Political Deadlock http://www.nasdaq.com/article/thailand-talks-fail-to-resolve-political-deadlock-20140521-00258

Thailand’s reluctant general grasps political nettle http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/05/21/uk-thailand-protest-prayuth-idUKKBN0E10YH20140521

Inside Story: Thailand crisis: can martial law help? http://www.aljazeera.com/programmes/insidestory/2014/05/thailand-crisis-can-martial-law-help-201452116141686709.html

We must defend Thailand’s fragile democracy – or civil war looms http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/may/21/stand-up-thailand-fragile-democracy-civil-war

Thailand martial law: Crisis meeting inconclusive, more talks on Thursday http://www.straitstimes.com/news/asia/south-east-asia/story/thailand-martial-law-crisis-meeting-inconclusive-more-talks-20140521#sthash.XoRv9goA.dpuf

Thailand’s democracy is being dismembered, limb by limb http://www.globalpost.com/dispatch/news/regions/asia-pacific/thailand/140520/thailand-martial-law-political-crisis-explained

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